New Analysis Shows Over 20% of US Jobs Significantly Exposed to AI Automation In the Near Future

The Artificial Intelligence Policy Institute (AIPI) released a new interactive map and dataset to shed light on the near-future effects of automation from AI on the job market. AIPI’s analysis—drawn from a Goldman Sachs report released earlier this year—estimates the number of jobs significantly exposed to AI automation and provides a state-by-state breakdown of job exposure. AIPI’s analysis indicates that more than 35 million jobs across industries are at risk of being automated, and the interactive map details state-by-state impacts on the current trajectory.

To arrive at these numbers, AIPI combined a 2023 job automation report from Goldman Sachs, which broke down the percentage of jobs with >25% of job tasks already or soon-to-be automated, with state-level job reporting by industry. In the United States, office and administrative support jobs top the list, with 46% of such jobs significantly exposed to automation, closely followed by legal work at 44%. Further, 35% of Business and Financial Operations jobs and 31% of Sales roles are exposed.

Below is the interactive map demonstrating the number of jobs state-by-state with significant exposure to AI automation (>25% of tasks automated).

“There’s been a lot of discussion about how AI threatens to eliminate jobs through automation. With this map, we hope to sound the alarm about this risk for both policymakers and everyday people,” said Daniel Colson, Executive Director of the Artificial Intelligence Policy Institute. “While in the long-term technology can create new jobs, job loss due to automation in the short-run threatens to create a major turmoil for millions of regular Americans. We hope that by connecting AI’s rapid development to the potentially ground-altering effects on the labor market, policymakers will take decisive actions to prepare for this imminent reality.”  

Below is a spreadsheet that shows more about AIPI’s methodology and the breakdown state-by-state and across industries.